Countdown to Brexit: 37 days – EU ratchets up no-deal advice to business across Europe

The European Commission has this week stepped up its “no-deal outreach” to EU businesses – specifically in the area of customs and indirect taxation – such as VAT – given the risk that the United Kingdom may leave the EU on 30 March this year without a deal.

The campaign is part of the Commission’s ongoing efforts to prepare for a no-deal Brexit at 00:00 CET on 30 March 2019. It stems from the meeting in December of the European Council – comprising the EU27 Heads of State. They called for “intensified preparedness work for all scenarios”. The campaign aims to reinforce the advice to businesses that will continue to trade with the UK after 30 March and builds on the Commissions Preparedness Notices and Guides – issued during 2018, but at a time that a 21-month transition period was anticipated. The documents set out that is needed to ensure as smooth a transition for businesses as possible.

Preparing for the UK becoming a non-EU ‘third’ country is of paramount importance if significant disruption for EU business is to be avoided – and the timescales for preparing have been reduced to a matter of days rather than months in the event of a cliff-edge no-deal Brexit.

European Commissioner for Economic and Financial Affairs, Taxation and Customs, Pierre Moscovici, said: “With the risk of a no-deal Brexit increasing as we get closer to 29 March, the European Commission and national customs authorities are working hard to be ready to introduce checks and controls on goods flowing between the EU and the UK. This is key to protecting our consumers and our internal market. A lot depends on the ability of businesses trading with the UK to get up to speed with the customs rules that will apply on day one in case of no deal. There is no time to lose and we are here to help with the information campaign.”

Across the EU business community – and especially Small & Medium Enterprises – work is needed to prepare for a “no-deal” scenario and to continue trading with the UK. These businesses should:

Assess whether they have the necessary technical and human capacity to deal with customs procedures and rules, e.g. on ‘preferential rules of origin’.

Consider obtaining various customs authorisations and registrations in order to facilitate their trading activity if the UK is part of their supply chain.

Get in touch with their national customs authority to see what other steps can be taken to prepare.

Material available to businesses includes a ‘5-step checklist’ – providing an overview of the steps that need to be taken and available in all EU languages. The Commission’s campaign complements national efforts to inform EU businesses across the EU27 Member States.

Member States are, in parallel, undertaking preparatory work – supported by the Commission – to ensure that national customs infrastructure and logistics are ready to deal with a no-deal scenario.

Background

Since the rejection of the UK-EU agreed Withdrawal Agreement by UK Parliament – and with “ratification remaining uncertain” – the risk of a ‘no-deal’ scenario has increased significantly. The Commission has been ramped up its preparedness work for a no-deal since December 2017.

The Commission’s first Brexit preparedness Communication in July 2018 emphasised that – irrespective of the Brexit scenario – the United Kingdom’s choice to leave the European Union will cause significant disruption. It has consistently called on European citizens, businesses and Member States to prepare for all possible scenarios, assess relevant risks and plan their response to mitigate them.

Stakeholders, as well as national and EU authorities need to prepare for two possible main scenarios:

If the Withdrawal Agreement is ratified before 30 March 2019: EU law will cease to apply to and in the UK on 1 January 2021 – that is, after a transition period of 21 months. The Withdrawal Agreement includes the possibility of a single extension of the transition period for up to one or two years.

If the Withdrawal Agreement is not ratified before 30 March 2019: there will be no transition period and EU law will cease to apply to and in the UK as of 30 March 2019. This “no-deal” scenario has been referred to as a “cliff-edge”.

With this in mind, the European Council in December 2018 called for preparedness work to intensify at all levels. The European Commission adopted a Contingency Action Plan on 19 December 2018 – and legislative measures – including in the area of customs – have now been enacted.

For instance, in such a ‘no-deal’ scenario, goods coming from or going to the UK will be treated as imports from and exports to a ‘third country’. This means that customs formalities and controls will apply at import and export. Customs duties, VAT and excise duties will be levied at importation, while exports to the UK will be exempt from VAT.

The Commission has published a series of notices – available in all EU languages – which aim to better inform stakeholders and travellers about the consequences that a ‘no-deal’ scenario could have for their business when it comes to customs procedures, indirect taxation – such as VAT and excise duties – preferential rules of origin, import licenses and export licenses.

Action by the EU27 Member States’ action is also essential. Each of their national authorities has a key role in monitoring and guiding industry preparations. On that basis, the Commission has held technical discussions with the EU27 Member States both on general issues of preparedness and on sectorial, legal and administrative preparedness steps.

A series of visits to the 27 EU Member States has also begun to make sure national contingency planning is on track and to provide any necessary clarifications on the preparedness process.

European Commission simplified 5 question assessment – issued on 18 February 2019:

“ASSESS WHETHER YOUR BUSINESS TRADES WITH THE UK OR MOVES GOODS THROUGH THE UK”

If it does:

1. REGISTER your business with the national customs authority to trade with non-EU countries, if you have not done so yet.

2. ASSESS whether your business has the necessary resources and capacity (staff, access to IT systems, storage…) and holds all necessary customs authorisations to import or export.

3. ASK your national customs authority which existing customs simplifications and facilitations are available for your business, such as guarantees and transit simplifications.

4. CONSIDER applying for Authorised Economic Operator (AEO) status from your national customs authority.

5. TALK to your business partners (suppliers, intermediaries, carriers…) as Brexit might also impact your supply chain.

References

https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/communication-19-december-2018-preparing-withdrawal-united-kingdom-european-union-30-march-2019-implementing-commissions-contingency-action-plan_en

http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-19-901_en.htm

Countdown to Brexit: 42 days – over 40 UK Ambassadors call for a public vote over Brexit uncertainty

An open letter from 43 former British Ambassadors and High Commissioners calls on Theresa May to change direction on Brexit – saying that it would be wrong to leave the EU on the basis of a Political Declaration that offers no clarity about the United Kingdom’s future relationship with our closest neighbours and biggest trading partner.

It comes as the Prime Minister’s deal was – once again – rejected by the House of Commons. The defeat by 303 votes against and 258 in favour – is significant. Even more significant is the pattern of voting – the abstentions and against voting increase the odds of a no-deal Brexit in exactly six weeks time.

The intervention from the Ambassadors could not be more timely – urging Parliament to use all the mechanisms at its disposal to seek to extend the Article 50 deadline. Their conclusion – even before knowing the outcome of the vote – is that the current “Brexit fiasco” makes “a powerful argument” to give the decision back to the people – asking whether they want to accept the negotiated Brexit ‘deal’ – or would prefer to remain in the European Union.

Signatories are led former Permanent Representative to the European Union and Ambassador to the United States of America, Sir Nigel Sheinwald. The letter is a public declaration of support for the People’s Vote from the most experienced group of UK representatives to the World.

Others signatories include Lord John Kerr, the author of Article 50; Lord David Hannay, Permanent Representative to the EEC under Margaret Thatcher’s government; and Lord Peter Ricketts, the former Ambassador to France.

In the letter the ambassadors say: “As former diplomats who have served around the world, we have a clear understanding of what contributes to Britain’s influence in the world. Our advice to Theresa May today is clear: we should not leave the EU when we have no clarity about our final destination. Instead we must use the mechanisms at our disposal, above all we must seek to extend the Article 50 negotiating period.”

“It is clear that Brexit has turned into a national crisis. There is no possible deal that will be a sensible alternative to the privileged one we have today as members of the EU with a seat at the table, inside the Single Market and Customs Union but outside the Euro and Schengen.”

On a People’s Vote, the ambassadors say: “There is now – in addition to extending Article 50 – a powerful argument to go back to the people and ask them whether they want the negotiated Brexit deal or would prefer to stay in the European Union.

“Our country’s national interest must always be paramount. The Brexit fiasco has already weakened the UK’s standing in the world. We strongly advocate a change of direction before it is too late.”

The full text of the letter and list of all 43 signatories:

“If the Prime Minister’s deal is passed in Parliament, it will not be the end of Brexit but will in fact mark the start of year upon on year of negotiation and renegotiation – truly a ‘Brexternity’ of endless uncertainty about our future for both citizens and businesses alike.

As former diplomats who have served around the world, we have a clear understanding of what contributes to Britain’s influence in the world. Our advice to Theresa May today is clear: we should not leave the EU when we have no clarity about our final destination. Instead we must use the mechanisms at our disposal, above all we must seek to extend the Article 50 negotiating period.

It is clear that Brexit has turned into a national crisis. There is no possible deal that will be a sensible alternative to the privileged one we have today as members of the EU with a seat at the table, inside the Single Market and Customs Union but outside the Euro and Schengen. There is now, in addition to extending Article 50, a powerful argument to go back to the people and ask them whether they want the negotiated Brexit deal or would prefer to stay in the European Union.

Our country’s national interest must always be paramount. The Brexit fiasco has already weakened the UK’s standing in the world. We strongly advocate a change of direction before it is too late.

Signed:

Sir Nigel Sheinwald, Permanent Representative to the European Union 2000 -2003 and Ambassador to the United States 2007 – 2012
Lord John Kerr, Permanent Representative to the European Economic Community/European Union 1990 – 1995 and Ambassador to the United States 1995 – 1997
Lord David Hannay, Permanent Representative to the European Economic Community 1985 – 1990; Permanent Representative to the United Nations in New York 1990 – 1995
Lord Peter Ricketts, Ambassador to France 2012 – 2016
Sir Christopher Mallaby, Ambassador to Germany 1988 – 1992 and France 1993 – 1996
Dame Mariot Leslie, former Permanent Representative to NATO and former Ambassador to Norway.
Sir Ivor Roberts, Ambassador to the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia 1994 – 1997; Ireland 1999 – 2003 and Italy 2003 – 2006
Sir Roderic Lyne, UK Ambassador to Russia 2000 – 2004
Christopher Prentice, Ambassador to Jordan 2002 – 2006; Iraq 2007 – 2009 and Italy 2011 – 2016
Sir Bryan Cartledge, Ambassador to Hungary 1980 – 1983 and the Soviet Union 1985 – 1988
Sir Brian Fall, High Commissioner to Canada 1989 – 1992 and Ambassador to Russia 1992 – 1995
Sir John Birch, Ambassador to Hungary 1989 – 1995
Basil Eastwood, Ambassador to Syria 1996 -2000 and Switzerland 2001 – 2004
Nigel Thorpe, Ambassador to Hungary 1998 – 2003
Sir Stephen Barrett, Ambassador to Czechoslovakia 1985 – 1988 and to Poland 1988 – 1991
Dame Victoria Sutherland, former Ambassador to Ireland
Francis Cornish, Ambassador to Israel, 1998 – 2001
Oliver Miles, Ambassador to Libya 1984, Luxembourg 1985 – 1988 and Greece 1993 – 1996
Sarah Squire, Ambassador to Estonia 2000 – 2003
Dr William Squire, Ambassador to Israel 1984 – 1988
Sir William Patey, Ambassador to Sudan 2002 – 2005; Iraq 2005 – 2006 and Afghanistan 2010 – 2012
Sir Roger Bone, Ambassador to Sweden 1995 – 1999 and Brazil 1999 – 2004
Andrew Bache, Ambassador to Romania 1992 and Denmark 1996 – 1999
Sir Adrian Beamish, Former Ambassador to Mexico
Sir Michael Burton, Ambassador to the Czech Republic 1994 – 1997
Nigel Haywood, Ambassador to Estonia 2003 -2008 and Governor of the Falkland islands 2010 – 2014
Nicholas Jarrold, Ambassador to Latvia 1996 – 1999 and Croatia 2000 – 2004
Peter Jenkins, Former Ambassador to the WTO in Geneva and to the IEAA and the UN in Vienna 2001 – 2006
Bruce Dinwiddy, High Commissioner to Tanzania 1998 – 2001 and Governor of the Cayman Islands 2002 – 2005
Richard Ralph, Ambassador to Latvia 1993 – 1995, Governor of the Falkland Islands 1996 – 1999; Ambassador to Romania and to Moldova 1999 – 2002 and Ambassador to Peru 2003 – 2006
David Broucher, Ambassador to the Cech Republic 1997 – 2001
Richard Lavers, Ambassador to Ecuador 1993 – 1997 and Guatemala 2001 – 2006
Colin Munro, Ambassador to Croatia 1997 – 2000
Sir Peter Heap, High Commissioner to the Bahamas & Ambassador to Brazil
Hugh Arbuthnott, Ambassador to Romania 1986 – 1989, Ambassador to Portugal 1989 – 1993, Ambassador to Denmark 1993 – 1996
Sir Graham Boyce, Ambassador to Kuwait 1996 – 1999, Ambassador to Egypt 1999 – 2001
Sir David Brighty, Ambassador to Cuba 1989 -1991; Czechoslovakia/Czech Republic/Slovakia 1991 – 1994; Ambassador to Spain 1994 – 1998
Andrew Palmer, Ambassador to Cuba 1986 – 1988
Sir Roger Carrick, Ambassador to Indonesia 1990 – 1994 & High Commissioner to Australia 1994 – 1997
Richard Dalton, Ambassador to Libya 1999 and to Iran 2003 – 2006
Sir David Warren, Ambassador to Japan 2008 – 2012
Nicola Brewer, former High Commissioner to South Africa 2009-2013
Ian Bond, Ambassador to Latvia 2005 – 2007

Countdown to Brexit: 43 days – Inside today’s debate in Parliament on the ‘UK withdrawal from the EU’

The Government’s Brexit deal – comprising the Withdrawal Agreement (WA) and the Political Declaration (PD) – was overwhelmingly defeated in the House of Commons on 15 January 2019 by 432 votes to 202.

As a result, the Prime Minister set out to seek further negotiations with the EU on the ‘Northern Ireland/Ireland backstop’.  She has stated that a change to the backstop would win a majority in the House of Commons for the deal.

EU leaders have however stated repeatedly that they are unwilling to re-open re-negotiations on the WA, but would consider making changes to the PD.

If the Government is unable to command majority support in the House of Commons for her deal, there is a “heightened prospect of the UK leaving the EU without a deal on 29 March 2019” – unless, of course, Article 50 period is extended.

The vote today avoids bringing back the same deal and risking another defeat in a ‘meaningful’ vote.  It is – according to the Government a ‘neutral’ and non-binding ‘amendable’ vote: “That this House welcomes the Prime Minister’s statement of 12 February 2019; reiterates its support for the approach to leaving the EU expressed by this House on 29 January 2019 – and notes that discussions between the UK and the EU on the Northern Ireland backstop are ongoing.”

The Government clearly choosing to ignore the warnings from the Bank of England, business and commerce for clarity with 6 weeks to Brexit – and the next opportunity for a vote postponed until the end of February.

Background

On 7 February 2019, the President of the European Commission reiterated that the EU is not willing to reopen the WA – but expressed openness to adding wording to the PD.   The Prime Minister and the European Commission President will meet again before the end of February to take stock of discussions.

The Leader of the Opposition, Jeremy Corbyn MP, wrote to the Prime Minister on 6 February and suggested the Labour party could support the WA if changes to the PD, including a commitment to a permanent UK-EU customs union, were enshrined in law.  The Government has rejected the proposal for a customs union as it would prevent the UK from pursuing an independent trade policy.

The Prime Minister has stated her opposition to extending Article 50.

The Leader of the Opposition has however suggested that an Article 50 extension is now inevitable given that neither the legislation needed in place for exit day, or the preparations required in a no-deal Brexit will be in place.

EU leaders have indicated a willingness to extend Article 50 – for a “specific purpose and time limited period”, but re-iterated that they care unable to re-open negotiations on the WA.

1.1   The Meaningful Vote postponed

On 25 November 2018, the European Council – including Theresa May on behalf of the UK – approved the Withdrawal Agreement (WA) and the Political Declaration (PD).

The House of Commons vote to approve both the WA and PD was scheduled for 11 December 2018 – but was postponed by the Prime Minister in recognition of the widespread opposition to the WA in the House of Commons.

Since the approval of the WA on 25 November, EU leaders have however been adamant that they are unwilling to re-open negotiations on it.  On 29 November, the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier told the European Parliament: “Given the difficult circumstances of this negotiation and given the extreme complexity of all the issues of the British withdrawal, the treaty that is on the table is the only deal possible”.

1.2   EU Assurances to the UK on the Backstop

On 13 December EU Leaders – the European Council – stated that: “The Union stands by this agreement and intends to proceed with its ratification.  It is not open for renegotiation”.

The European Council underlined that the backstop is intended as an insurance policy to prevent a hard border on the island of Ireland and ensure the integrity of the Single Market.  Further, were the backstop to be triggered – it would apply temporarily.

In an exchange of letters between Prime Minister Theresa May and the Presidents of the European Council (Donald Tusk) and European Commission (Jean-Claude Juncker) on 14 January 2019, the EU sought to provide further assurances to the UK.

The letter from Presidents Juncker and Tusk sought to reassure the Prime Minister of the legal weight of the December 2018 European Council Conclusions in which it had emphasised the EU’s intention to conclude a future relations agreement quickly, so that the backstop “would only be in place for as long as strictly necessary”. We covered the letter in a previous posting at:

eu-closes-the-door-on-renegotiation-of-the-deal

The EU letter stressed the link between the WA and the PD as “part of the same negotiated package” and pledged to establish the Commission negotiating structure for the future relations agreement “directly after signature” of the WA “to ensure that formal negotiations can start as soon as possible after the withdrawal” of the UK.

1.3   Political Declaration and Future Relations

The EU has indicated that while it is unwilling to reopen negotiations on the WA it would be willing to discuss changes to the PD – setting out more clearly what the UK’s future relationship with the EU will be.  The Labour party has also proposed changes to the PD to provide clarity on the future relationship and reduce the likelihood of the backstop being invoked (see below).

The PD outlines a set of commitments on a proposed future agreement on the UK-EU relationship and provides some parameters for the future negotiations.

It refers to:

  • the ending of free movement of people between the UK and EU – which rules out EEA/Single Market membership;
  • the development of an independent trade policy for the UK – which rules out a permanent UK-EU customs union.

The PD is non-binding – and the UK and EU could move beyond these parameters in a future agreement. Paragraph 138 states that once the WA has been approved by the UK and EU, preparatory work would begin on negotiations for the future relationship with both parties committed to “best endeavours” to ensure the future relationship enters into force by the end of the envisaged post-Brexit transition period – 31 December 2020 – or December 2022 at the latest and if the transition needs to be extended.

It states that the priority will be to find alternative, permanent arrangements to ensure there is no hard border between Northern Ireland and Ireland.

It remains unclear what these permanent arrangements to prevent a hard border emerging between Northern Ireland and Ireland would be and how these might be different from the previously discussed backstop arrangements.  Paragraph 27 of the PD refers to consideration of facilitative arrangements and technologies for ensuring there is no hard border in Ireland – but doubts have been expressed as to whether such arrangements can provide a solution.

1.4   Commons Rejection of WA

The House of Commons on 15 January 2019 rejected the deal by 432 votes to 202 – a majority of 230.

That night – following the vote – the Prime Minister said she would hold a series of meetings with colleagues, the DUP and “senior parliamentarians” in an attempt to find a deal that could gain the support of Parliament.

On 16 January Theresa May survived a vote of confidence in her government – and again appealed to colleagues, the Democratic Unionist Party and senior MPs to meet her for talks on reaching consensus on a Brexit ‘Plan B’.

Immediately following the House of Commons vote, European Commission, President Juncker, maintained that the deal was a “fair compromise and the best possible deal” and “the only way to ensure an orderly withdrawal”.

On 16 January in a speech to the European Parliament, the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, also insisted that the negotiated WA represented the “best possible compromise” and its ratification remained “necessary”.  He also said that “the backstop which we have agreed with the United Kingdom must remain a backstop and it must remain credible”.

Barnier said that if the UK chose “to change its red lines, and to be more ambitious and go beyond a simple free trade deal in our future relationship, then the EU would be ready to immediately support this evolution and respond favourably”.

1.5   Government statement on Brexit and votes on motion, 29 January 2019

On Monday 21 January, Theresa May made a statement in the Commons – as she was required to do in accordance with the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018 – setting out how the Government “intends to proceed” in relation to the Article 50 negotiations and tabled an ‘amendable’ neutral motion saying that Parliament had considered the statement.  The motion was debated and voted upon on 29 January.

On 16 January, Parliament’s “Exiting the EU” Committee recommended that a series of indicative votes be held on options for proceeding with withdrawal and negotiated a new relationship framework with the EU.

In the end, the Commons voted in favour of an amendment by Graham Brady MP – with the support of the Prime Minister and the Government.  It said that the support of the House for the deal was contingent upon “replacing” the backstop with “alternative arrangements.”

A second amendment – tabled by Caroline Spelman MP – rejecting the possibility of a no-deal Brexit was also approved by 318 votes to 310.  Note that this amendment has no direct legal effect.  It stops short, for example, of providing a legislative mechanism by which Article 50 would be “revoked” in the absence of a ratified deal on 29 March 2019 – unlike the amendment proposed by Yvette Cooper MP.

The Prime Minister took this amendment as a mandate to seek legally binding changes to the withdrawal agreement and backstop – guaranteeing “no return to a hard border between Northern Ireland and Ireland.”

On 30 January, The President of the European Council, Donald Tusk, re-iterated that: “The EU position is clear and consistent.  The Withdrawal Agreement is not open for renegotiation. Yesterday, we found out what the UK doesn’t want. But we still don’t know what the UK does want.”

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, said that as the House had “emphatically voted to reject the no-deal option” he would now be prepared to enter talks with the Prime Minister to discuss where progress might be made to reach a deal which Labour is prepared to support.  These talks took place the next day.

During the debate on 29 January, the Prime Minister said that a revised deal would be brought back to the House for a second meaningful vote “as soon as we possibly can”.  If a revised deal is not brought back to the House by Wednesday 13 February – the Government will make a statement and, again, table an amendable motion for debate the next day.

1.6   Proposals for Alternative arrangements to Backstop

On 30 January 2019 the Prime Minister’s spokesman told reporters that Mrs May is considering “three possible alternative arrangements to the so-called Irish backstop”.  The BBC reported on 4 February that the alternatives to the backstop that the Prime Minister wants to discuss with EU leaders include:

  • a “trusted trader” scheme to avoid physical checks on goods flowing through the border
  • “mutual recognition” of rules with the EU
  • “technological” solutions
  • Malthouse compromise

The Malthouse-Compromise is supported by MPs from both the ‘leave’ and ‘remain’ wings of the Conservative and has two main elements:

  • Firstly, it will look at alternative arrangements that have already been proposed to the backstop;
  • Secondly, if these prove unacceptable to the EU, the UK would approach the EU with a ‘managed no-deal’ proposal – in which the UK asks the EU to honour the Withdrawal Agreement without the backstop – and under which the UK promises to pay relevant financial contributions for this transition period.

Liberal Democrats leader, Vince Cable MP, has objected to civil servants working with backbench MPs – suggesting in a letter to the Cabinet Secretary, Mark Sedwill, that this might breach guidelines on the impartiality of civil servants laid out in the Cabinet Manual.

On 6 February, European Commission President, Jean-Claude Juncker met the Irish Prime Minister, Leo Varadkar, and issued a joint statement reaffirming that the “Withdrawal Agreement is the best and only deal possible” and “is not open for renegotiation”.

“So-called alternative arrangements can never replace the backstop.  We need the backstop.  We need the withdrawal agreement.  And – when it comes to future relations – we can look into alternative arrangements – but they can never replace the backstop.”

Mr Tusk also commented: “I’ve been wondering what that special place in hell looks like, for those who promoted Brexit, without even a sketch of a plan how to carry it out safely”.

On 7 February the Prime Minister held further talks with the Presidents Juncker and Tusk.  Mrs May suggested the three options for changing the backstop..

After their meeting in a joint statement, Mrs May and Juncker said:  “The prime minister described the context in the UK Parliament, and the motivation behind last week’s vote in the House of Commons seeking a legally binding change to the terms of the backstop.  She raised various options for dealing with these concerns in the context of the withdrawal agreement in line with her commitments to the Parliament.

President Juncker underlined that the EU27 will not reopen the withdrawal agreement, which represents a carefully balanced compromise between the European Union and the UK, in which both sides have made significant concessions to arrive at a deal.  President Juncker however expressed his openness to add wording to the political declaration agreed by the EU27 and the UK in order to be more ambitious in terms of content and speed when it comes to the future relationship between the European Union and the UK.  President Juncker drew attention to the fact that any solution would have to be agreed by the European parliament and the EU27.

The prime minister and the president will meet again before the end of February to take stock of these discussions.

1.7   Discussion of Extension of Article 50

The Prime Minister has been clear that she intends to deliver on the 2016 referendum result in taking the UK out of the EU.  She has also spoken against the possibility of extending Article 50 and repeatedly stated that the UK will leave the EU on 29 March 2019.

“I’m clear that I’m going to deliver Brexit, I’m going to deliver it on time, that’s what I’m going to do for the British public. I’ll be negotiating hard in the coming days to do just that.”

Corbyn has pointed out that even if the Prime Minister’s deal were to somehow achieve a majority in this House next month – there is no chance that the necessary legislation -primary legislation and an extensive catalogue of secondary legislation – some 8 Acts of Parliament and 600 statutory instruments – could complete the process of becoming law by 29 March.

An extension to Article 50 would also be required under the Labour party’s favoured scenario of holding a general election, while a longer extension would be required if the option favoured by the Liberal Democrats and cross-party campaigners of another referendum (with an option to remain) was adopted.

Foreign Secretary, Jeremy Hunt MP, indicated on 31 January 2019 that an extension of Article 50 could be requested if the WA is approved shortly before 29 March, in order to provide for extra Parliamentary time to pass legislation to prepare for Brexit.

Section 13 of the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018 provides that the UK cannot legally ratify the deal until the Commons has approved a resolution approving both the negotiated withdrawal agreement and the framework for the future relationship – and European Union (Withdrawal Agreement) Bill becomes law.

A report by the Institute for Government says it is “increasingly unlikely that the Prime Minister will be able to get the six outstanding Brexit bills through Parliament in time if there is a no-deal Brexit on 29 March.”

We covered the Bills in previous postings.  They are: the Trade Bill, Agriculture Bill, Fisheries Bill, Immigration Bill, Healthcare (International Agreements) Bill and the Financial Services Bill.

In addition, only 142 of the 600 statutory instruments required to prepare the statute book for exit day had made their way through Parliament as of 11 February 2019.

A further 401 had been ‘laid’ using the “medieval” Henry VIII powers to override Parliament.

A request by the UK to extend the Article 50 negotiating period would require unanimous agreement by the EU27 leaders in the European Council. T he European Commission and Member State representatives have indicated that their response to such a request would depend on the reasons the extension was being requested, and that they would not favour an extension to re-open negotiations on the WA.

1.8   Labour party proposals and Government response

In a letter to the Prime Minister on 6 February, Jeremy Corbyn said that the Government would need to enshrine five changes to the Political Declaration in law to secure Labour support for a Withdrawal Agreement.  The changes would provide for the following:

A permanent and comprehensive UK-wide customs union, involving alignment with the union customs code, a common external tariff and an agreement on commercial policy that includes a UK say on future EU trade deals.

Close alignment with the Single Market, underpinned by shared institutions and obligations, with clear arrangements for dispute resolution.

Dynamic alignment on rights and protections so that UK standards keep pace with evolving standards across Europe.

Clear commitments on participation in EU agencies and funding programmes, including in areas such as the environment, education, and industrial regulation.

Unambiguous agreements on the detail of future security arrangements, including access to the European Arrest Warrant and vital shared databases.

The Prime Minister responded to Mr Corbyn’s letter on 10 February rejecting the changes.  May’s letter referred to the wording within the Political Declaration that recognised that the UK would have an “independent trade policy” – with the ability for the UK to “strike our own deals”.  She also said that the Government did not support automatic alignment to EU rules on workers’ rights or environmental protection – but would be “prepared to commit to asking Parliament whether it wishes to follow suit whenever the EU changes its standards in these areas”.

Countdown to Brexit: 44 days – Severe consequences for businesses from “lack of Brexit clarity” surface

Brexit is now soaking up all available capacity of businesses as they prepare for the potential impact of a no-deal Brexit.   The Government has been asked as a matter of “great urgency” to pause all consultations on food, farming and environment issues.

Leaders from 32 organisations representing thousands of businesses have written to Michael Gove MP, Secretary of the Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs – Defra – to express “deep concern” over the resources that they are having to divert to Brexit.

If agreed – and it is a compelling argument given that industry has to match the Government’s own deployment of 5,000 civil servants who are preparing new procedures and regulations that Brexit calls for – it will mean that consultations on Gove’s pet projects, such as a bottle deposit scheme, could be delayed.

“Businesses throughout the UK food chain – and their trade associations – are now totally focused on working to mitigate the catastrophic impact of a no-deal Brexit.  Large amounts of time, money, people and effort are being diverted to that end,” says the letter – signed by among others the National Farmers’ Union, the Food and Drink Federation and the International Meat Trade Association.

“At this moment of potential crisis for our industry, it cannot be ‘business as usual’ within Government.”  The letter – quoted in full below – lists 12 consultations that Defra has under way.

Meanwhile, the UK business trade body – the British Chamber of Commerce – has called for clarity on: import and export duties; border controls and customs procedures.  They have stated that thousands of companies will suffer “catastrophic shock” as the UK leaves the European Union.  BCC Director General, Adam Marshall said British firms face the biggest change to their terms of trade in over a generation – and with 44 days to Brexit, are doing so “without the information and clarity they need to navigate their forward course”.  The BCC list of 20 questions that need urgent answers are listed, below.

The message was endorsed by hauliers interviewed by the Radio 4 ‘Today’ programme.  They have been unable to obtain – and in some cases have been denied – the necessary licenses to continue to travel and trade with the EU from 30 March.

The conclusion of the food and farming industry is now typical of industry and commerce in every sector.  They are formally requesting that consultations should be delayed – including: a tax on plastic items with less than 30% recycled content; further advertising restrictions on foods high in fat, salt or sugar; a national action plan on pesticides; and a clean air strategy.

They use the phrase “crisis management mode” – pointing out that Defra has been able to re-assign and recruit additional resources – they are not able to do so.

“Neither we nor our members have the physical resources nor organisational bandwidth to engage with and properly respond to non-Brexit related policy consultations or initiatives at this time. Government has recruited many extra staff; we cannot.”

“We very strongly urge you therefore to require of your cabinet colleagues that a range of current and planned consultations that will impact food and drink, some of which are expected shortly, are firmly and clearly placed on ‘pause’ until this uncertainty is over. A list of the relevant consultations of which we are aware is given in the appendix to this letter.

“If Government seeks to press ahead with these consultations it will be seen by some as a sign of bad faith and many organisations may decline to respond.”

Among those that also signed the letter – listed in full below, include: the Food and Drinks Wales Industry Board; the British Meat Processors Association; the British Poultry Association; Dairy UK; and UK Hospitality – representing all food sources, supply chain, hotels and restaurants.

The unique coming together of such a broad range of industry organisations is a sign of the deep frustration felt over the fact that there is not yet an acceptable deal before Parliament.  The announcement today from the Prime Minister that the earliest that a vote could be expected is 27 February will only add to this sense of frustration.

A spokesman for the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs merely reiterated the increasingly hollow mantra – stating a deal remained the “top priority” and it was working with the industry “to help prepare for all scenarios”.

There was no indication that Defra would pause consultations: “While we have intensified our no-deal planning, we are continuing to tackle other priority issues that matter to people – including our plans to reduce plastic waste and deliver a green Brexit”.

Background

BCC:  20 “unanswered questions”

  1. What tariffs will my company need to pay when importing goods to the UK from the EU and rest of the world?
  2. When will the UK government launch an official market access database to provide this information?
  3. If any trade agreements with third countries are operational on the day after Brexit, what rules of origin will I need to comply with?
  4. Will I still be able to fly people and/or goods between the UK and the EU after Brexit day – or could travel be disrupted?
  5. I know I will need to register for an EORI number. How simple will it be for me to register for any other new registration requirements or processes?
  6. How will my lead times be impacted by new customs procedures?
  7. Will any of the EU-FTA agreements be rolled over or replaced on a bilateral basis in the event of no deal?
  8. Will I be able to use any trade preferences with any markets?
  9. Will there be confirmation that I will be able to continue importing tariff free goods from developing and least developed countries under the generalised system of preferences after 29 March 2019?
  10. Will there be new safety and security requirements and inspections at the UK-EU border that my company will need to deal with? Where will inspections be held?
  11. What system will I be using to input customs data – will HMRC’s new Customs Declaration Service be ready in time for 29 March?
  12. What procedures will my company face trading between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland?
  13. Will this be different to operating at any other UK border?
  14. Will staff spending longer than 90 out of 180 days in the EU be subject to further administration, costs or visas?
  15. Will my business be able to move skilled staff members between the UK and the EU after 29 March and if so, under what conditions?
  16. Which regulator will be overseeing my business after 29 March, and what rules do I need to follow?
  17. Is the UK government going to charge businesses for the creation of new regulatory agencies in the UK?
  18. If my company is in dispute with another in the EU, what form of resolution and means of redress will be available to my business after 29 March?
  19. Will my business have to pay roaming charges in the EU after 29 March?
  20. Will my business continue to be able to hold and transfer data and personal information without any interruptions after 29 March?

Letter from 32 Food and Farming Industry Groups

8 February 2019

To: Rt Hon Michael Gove MP Secretary of State Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs 2 Marsham Street London SW1P 4DF Dear Secretary of State

“As representatives of a very broad swathe of the UK’s farming and food & drink supply-chain, we are writing to you today on a matter of great urgency and of deep concern to our members. In fewer than 50 days, the UK will leave the European Union.  The legal default is that we will do so irrespective of whether or not we have signed a withdrawal agreement and, at present, that no-deal Brexit looks ever more the likeliest outcome.

Businesses throughout the UK food chain – and their trade associations – are now totally focused on working to mitigate the catastrophic impact of a no-deal Brexit. Large amounts of time, money, people and effort are being diverted to that end.

 At this moment of potential crisis for our industry, it cannot be ‘business as usual’ within Government.

Neither we nor our members have the physical resources nor organisational bandwidth to engage with and properly respond to non-Brexit related policy consultations or initiatives at this time. Government has recruited many extra staff; we cannot.  We very strongly urge you therefore to require of your Cabinet colleagues that a range of current and planned consultations that will impact food and drink, some of which are expected shortly, are firmly and clearly placed on “pause” until this uncertainty is over.  A list of the relevant consultations of which we are aware is given in the appendix to this letter. If Government seeks to press ahead with these consultations it will be seen by some as a sign of bad faith and many organisations may decline to respond. We are grateful for your assistance with this issue.”

Signatories to Letter:

  • Ian Wright CBE, Chief Executive, Food and Drink Federation
  • Paul Rooke, Head of Policy, Agricultural Industries Confederation
  • Andrew Pollard, President, Association of Bakery Ingredient Manufacturers
  • Pete Robertson, President, Association of Cereal Food Manufacturers
  • David Camp, Chief Executive, Association of Labour Providers
  • Chris Stemman’ Director, British Coffee Association
  • Walter Anzer, Director General, British Food Importers and Distributors  Association
  • John Hyman, Chief Executive, British Frozen Food Federation
  • Jack Ward, Chief Executive, British Growers  Association
  • Nick Allen, Chief Executive Officer, British Meat Processors  Association
  • Richard Griffiths, Chief Executive, British Poultry  Association
  • Declan O’Brien, Director General, British Specialist Nutrition  Association
  • Nick Bennett, Chairman, Council for Responsible Nutrition UK
  • Judith Bryans, Chief Executive, Dairy UK
  • Gordon Polson, Director, Federation of Bakers
  • James Bielby, Chief Executive, Federation of Wholesale Distributors
  • Nigel Jenny, Chief Executive, Fresh Produce Consortium
  • David Thomson, Chief Executive Officer, Food and Drink Federation Scotland
  • Andy Richardson, Chairman, Food and Drink Wales Industry Board
  • Graham Keen, Executive Director, Health Food Manufacturers’ Association
  • Liz Murphy, Chief Executive Officer, International Meat Trade  Association
  • Bob Price, Director and Policy Advisor, National Association of Cider Manufacturers
  • Terry Jones, Director General, National Farmers’ Union
  • Michael Bell, Executive Director, Northern Ireland Food and Drink Association
  • Dick Searle, Chief Executive, Packaging Federation
  • Andrew Curtis, Director General, Potato Processors’ Association
  • Andrew Kuyk CBE, Director General, Provision Trade Federation
  • James Withers, Chief Executive, Scotland Food and Drink
  • Simon Cripps, Executive Chairman, Seasoning and Spice  Association
  • James Smith, Chairman, UK Flavour Association
  • Kate Nicholls, Chief Executive Officer, UK Hospitality
  • Dr. Sharon Hall, Chief Executive, UK Tea & Infusions  Association

APPENDIX to the letter of 8 February 2019:

Food and drink-related policy consultations that we are expecting:

  • A Deposit Return Scheme for England & Wales (with links to Scotland and NI possibly)
  • A consistent national recycling collection service
  • An overhaul of the current Producer Responsibility programme, the Packaging Recovery Note system
  • Proposals for a tax on plastic items with less than 30% recycled content
  • Proposals to further restrict the advertising of HFSS foods and drink Farmers also have a particular concern about extending the mandate under ‘Making Tax Digital’ at this time.

Defra consultations, where consultation timetable should be paused:

  • Consultation on Protecting and Enhancing England’s Trees and Woodlands (consultation closes 28/02/2019)
  • Fitness Check of the Water Framework Directive and the Floods Directive (consultation closes 04/03/2019)
  • Improving our management of water in the environment (consultation closes 12/03/2019)

Expected consultations that should be delayed:

  • National Action Plan on the sustainable use of pesticides
  • Clean Air Strategy – urea fertiliser use
  • Consulting on a chemicals strategy
  • Setting targets for the 25 Year Environment

Countdown to Brexit: 45 days – Financial Services in a no-deal Brexit

The Financial Services (Implementation of Legislation) Bill 2017-19 had its ‘second reading’ yesterday – 11 February 2019.

The Bill enables the Treasury to make corresponding or similar provisions in UK law to match the upcoming EU financial services legislation in the event of a no-deal Brexit.

Currently, most financial services regulation is made at EU level.  It is either directly applicable or transposed into domestic law by ‘secondary legislation’.

In preparation for leaving the EU, the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018 – EUWA – incorporates all EU law on the day of exit into UK law so that existing regulation continues to have effect after Brexit.

If the UK ratifies the Withdrawal Agreement, it will enter an implementation period until 31 December 2020 – during which EU law will continue to apply.  During this period the UK will continue to implement financial services regulation through secondary legislation.

However, if the UK leaves the EU with no deal, there will be no mechanism through which financial services regulation can be updated without the need for primary legislation.

There are several items of EU financial services legislation which have either been adopted by the EU but will not be implemented by the time the UK leaves – or that are currently in negotiation and may be adopted shortly after.  There are at least 16 items listed that are referred to as “in-flight files”.  The Bill would give the Treasury the power to create corresponding or similar UK regulations, subject to any adjustments appropriate to the UK’s new position outside the EU.

The power is subject to the same restrictions on scope as the correcting power in the EUWA and may only be used for up to two years after exit day.  Statutory instruments made under the power in this Bill will be subject to the affirmative resolution procedure, which requires a vote in both Houses. The Treasury will be required to produce six-monthly reports on the use of the power.

The Bill completed its stages in the House of Lords on 6 February 2019 – and had its ‘First Reading’ in the House of Commons on the same day.  ‘Second Reading’ is set to be on Monday 11 February 2019.

The Lords raised various issues at Committee Stage – which the Government has taken on board – moving amendments with the following effects:

To restrict the adjustments that the Treasury can make.  The Treasury will only be able to make policy changes to those files that were not settled while the UK was an EU member, and as long as the changes are not “major”.

For those files that the UK fully negotiated as a Member State, the adjustments will be limited to fixing deficiencies arising from the UK’s exit (as happens under the EUWA).

To require more detailed and frequent reporting from the Treasury on its proposals and use of powers.

To extend these reporting requirements to the financial regulators (Bank of England, PRA, FCA), where the powers are sub-delegated to them.

To add proposed regulations to facilitate sustainable investment to the list of in-flight EU files that the Bill refers to.

Contact us at enquiries@brexit-partners.com for detailed impact assessments of the following In-flight files, including:

  • Markets in Financial  Instruments Regulation
  • Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive II
  • CCP Recovery and Resolution
  • Covered Bonds Regulation and Directive
  • Capital Requirements Regulation II (CRR II) & Capital Requirements Directive V (CRD V)
  • Cross Border Distribution of Funds Regulation & Directive
  • Central Securities Depositories Regulation
  • European Market Infrastructure Regulation 2.2
  • EMIR REFIT (Regulatory Fitness and Performance Programme)
  • European Supervisory Authorities Review
  • Investment Firms Review
  • Prospectus Regulation
  • Securities Financing Transactions Regulation
  • SME Growth Markets Regulation
  • Sustainable Finance: Low Carbon Benchmarks
  • Sustainable Investment Regulations

Financial services if there is no-deal

The UK’s financial services sector is the largest in Europe and is deeply connected with it.  An estimated 10% of its revenues come directly from the EU, making it the third most-reliant sector on the EU market on that measure, after oil and gas at around 40% and manufacturing at around 20%.

All the main European banks and insurance companies operate in London, as UK companies do in Europe, under a system of ‘passports’.

Any company authorised in any EU Member State can operate in any other EU Member State under its passport.  It is the sudden loss of this passport without other arrangements in place that is the biggest potential problem arising out of ‘no deal’.

A PwC study concluded that the loss of mutual market access in financial services would be detrimental to both sides, although it would hurt the UK more. It estimated that no access would make the UK economy 1.3% smaller than otherwise by 2030, and 0.3% smaller for the EU27.

The impact of no deal on financial services was estimated by the Government at around -9% of economic activity for the industry in the long run.

The Government has published a series of no-deal notices and guidance for financial services.  Contact enquiries@Brexit-Partners.com for further information in the impact of these notices.

Background

We previously reported on the concerns expressed by Parliament and concerned citizens groups into the use of secondary legislation rather than the full scrutiny process in the scramble to complete all the necessary legislation before Brexit: Brexit – Henry VIII – and Statutory Instruments

Full Parliamentary briefing: http://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-8493/CBP-8493.pdf

Countdown to Brexit: 46 days – Another critical week in Parliament – and no clear way forward as the clock ticks down to the default “no-deal” Brexit

A debate on an ‘amendable motion’ is scheduled to take place in the House of Commons on 14 February 2019.  At the time of writing this briefing, the exact wording of the motion for debate in each House is not known.

The scheduling comes from a commitment made by the Prime Minister on 29 January 2019 – when the Commons voted in favour of a backbench amendment – which was supported by the Prime Minister and the Government – to replace the Northern Ireland backstop in the EU Withdrawal Agreement with “alternative arrangements to avoid a hard border”.

The Prime Minister said this gave her a mandate to reopen negotiations with the EU to seek legally binding changes to the Withdrawal Agreement. She said she intended to bring a revised deal back to the Commons for a “second meaningful vote” as soon as possible.

However, if the Government could not bring back a revised deal by 13 February 2019, Mrs May said that she would make a statement on that date – and table an amendable motion for debate the next day.  This date is a self-imposed deadline and not a statutory one under the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018 (EUWA).

In the meantime, Mrs May met with the President of the European Commission, Jean-Claude Juncker, on 7 February 2019 for what they described as “robust but constructive talks”.

Mrs May outlined various options for achieving legally binding changes to the terms of the backstop to address Parliament’s concerns.  President Juncker said that the EU could not reopen the Withdrawal Agreement – but remained “open” to adding wording to the Political Declaration that sets out the framework for negotiations on the future relationship between the UK and the EU.

Further talks between the two sides are ongoing, and Mrs May and President Juncker have agreed to meet again before the end of February to take stock of these discussions.

The Prime Minister has not said anything explicitly about holding a debate in the House of Lords. However, the Leader of the House of Lords had already indicated that Peers would have the opportunity to consider the outcome of the votes held in the Commons on 29 January 2019.  Thus, a  “take note” debate – that is, one on a ‘non-amendable’ motion – is scheduled to take place in the House of Lords on 13 February 2019 on the UK’s withdrawal from the EU.

This Week in Parliament

Monday 11 February: MPs will debate the Financial Services (Implementation of Legislation) Bill.   This is intended to authorise the Government to make provisions for certain EU financial services legislation adopted on or before – but no later than two years after – the United Kingdom leaves the EU.

 Tuesday 12 February: The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination Bill starts its Committee stage today.  If passed, it would repeal free movement and other related citizens rights derived from the EU, which have become part of UK legislation.

Two Committees will also focus on immigration and EU citizens.  The Home Affairs Committee takes evidence on the EU Settlement Scheme – which is the process by which EU nationals residing in the UK can regularise their immigration status.  The Scottish Affairs Committee have a one-off session to follow up on its previous inquiry into Immigration and Scotland.

Wednesday 13 February: The Prime Minister is committed to make a statement on Brexit next steps – which will dictate tomorrow’s business.

The Exiting the EU Committee will hear from Bertie Ahern, Taoiseach of the Republic of Ireland between 1994-2008.  During his time in office, he oversaw the successful negotiation of the Belfast (Good Friday) Agreement between the British and Irish Governments.

The Northern Ireland Affairs Committee will examine the backstop.

The Public Accounts Committee will undertake a progress review of the UK Government’s post-Brexit border plans.

The Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Committee continues scrutiny of the draft Environment (Principles and Governance) Bill.

Thursday 14 February: Parliamentary business today depends on what occurs on Wednesday.

In case you missed it – a summary of last week’s Brexit news

  • The Prime Minister made a speech in Belfast – saying that she knew that many people in Northern Ireland and across the island of Ireland were worried about what Parliament’s rejection of the withdrawal deal would mean for them.  She affirmed her commitment to the people of Northern Ireland, to the Belfast/Good Friday Agreement and her “unshakeable” commitment to “delivering a Brexit that ensures no return to a hard border”.
  • European Council President, Donald Tusk, said that: “there is a special place in Hell” for “those who promoted Brexit without even a sketch of a plan of how to carry it out safely.”
  • Prime Minister, Theresa May, visited Brussels the following day – with the aim of securing legally binding changes to the transition agreement that would help her Brexit deal pass in Parliament.
  • The EU had pre-empted the visit issuing a formal letter from Presidents Tusk and Juncker stating that there is no constitutional mechanism that allows discussions on the Irish border backstop to reopen.
  • Bank of England Governor, Mark Carney, said “The fog of Brexit is increasing the chance of a recession” in the UK.
  • UK Labour Party leader, Jeremy Corbyn, set out five demands for supporting a Brexit deal including that for a UK-wide customs union with the EU.
  • UK International Trade Secretary, Liam Fox, said he couldn’t rule out the possibility of the UK cutting import tariffs to zero in the event of a no-deal Brexit.  We posted details from the World Trade Treaty that prevents this happening.
  • UK Business Secretary, Greg Clarke, said that delaying Article 50 would only prolong the uncertainty facing businesses.
  • Japanese car maker, Toyota, committed to its manufacturing plans in the UK a week after rival firm Nissan said it will move a proposed new manufacturing plant from the UK to Japan.  Nissan’s decision reflects the sharp downturn in the European diesel market, with Brexit as an aggravating factor.
  • The UK government is drafting plans to boost the economy in the event of a no-deal Brexit, including options ranging from cutting taxes, boosting investment and slashing tariffs.
  • The EU is ramping up mobilisation of its contingency plans for a no-deal Brexit.

Background

Leader of the Opposition, Jeremy Corbyn MP – set out in a letter to the Prime Minister five changes to the Political Declaration that Labour wanted to see “enshrined in law” if they are to vote to accept the Government’s deal and its Withdrawal Agreement in its present state:

  • “A permanent and comprehensive UK-wide customs union.  This would include alignment with the union customs code, a common external tariff and an agreement on commercial policy that includes a UK say on future EU trade deals.  We believe that a customs union is necessary to deliver the frictionless trade that our businesses, workers and consumers need, and is the only viable way to ensure there is no hard border on the island of Ireland.  As you are aware, a customs union is supported by most businesses and trade unions.
  • Close alignment with the single market.  This should be underpinned by shared institutions and obligations, with clear arrangements for dispute resolution.
  • Dynamic alignment on rights and protections so that UK standards keep pace with evolving standards across Europe as a minimum, allowing the UK to lead the way.
  • Clear commitments on participation in EU agencies and funding programmes, including in areas such as the environment, education, and industrial regulation.
  • Unambiguous agreements on the detail of future security arrangements, including access to the European Arrest Warrant and vital shared databases.”

Yesterday, the Prime Minister sent a reply – arguing that her own Brexit plan “explicitly provides for the benefits of a customs union” in terms of avoiding tariffs, while allowing “development of the UK’s independent trade policy beyond our economic partnership with the EU”.

She wrote: “I am not clear why you believe it would be preferable to seek a say in future EU trade deals rather than the ability to strike our own deals?”

Whilst Mrs May accepts that a customs union could potentially deliver her a Commons majority – it risks splitting her party.  This was reinforced in interviews on BBC with Ministers indicating that they  would resign if this happened.

In other parts of her letter to Corbyn, Mrs May was more conciliatory – notably on environmental and workers’ rights.  She rejected his idea of “dynamic alignment” – automatically keeping the UK in step with EU standards – saying this should be a UK decision.

But she concluded that: “In the interests of building support across the house we are also prepared to commit to asking Parliament whether it wishes to follow suit whenever the EU changes its standards in these areas.”

Countdown to Brexit: 47 days – UK mobilises contingency planning for a no-deal Brexit as EU moves to support direct shipping to Ireland

UK Government contingency plans – codename “Project After” – could cut UK taxes and tariff levels in a no-deal.  Cabinet Secretary, Sir Mark Sedwill, is overseeing the work as the chances of MPs backing Theresa May’s Withdrawal Agreement next week.

It comes against the backdrop of the Netherlands Government announcing a further 250 companies are moving to Amsterdam.

Among the UK plans being considered to reverse the flow of business and commerce out of Britain after 29 March are: cuts to corporation tax and VAT to encourage more business investment; reducing tariffs; and export support.

In parallel, the Government’s “Project Bluebell” is looking at how specific sectors such as agriculture, car manufacturing and pharmaceuticals could be protected in a no-deal Brexit.

Theresa May is legally bound to put the results of her attempts to renegotiate the Withdrawal Agreement to MPs next Thursday – but has returned from Brussels and Ireland without making any progress.  MPs will then be entitled to vote on a series of different options for the way forward in the Commons.

In a separate UK Government ‘no-deal Technical Notice” – updated on 4 February – hauliers will be able to bring goods into the UK without facing checks at the border in a bid to avoid traffic jams for a temporary period.

The guidance says that companies will be expected to make customs declarations and to disclose safety and security information ahead of travelling to Britain from 29 March.  The special arrangement – which will affect goods coming in to 20 ports around the country – is expected to last for up to six months.

“For a temporary period, HMRC will allow most goods moving from the listed roll on roll off locations to leave the UK port or train station before you’ve told us that the goods have arrived.

“If you’ve submitted either a full declaration or a simplified frontier declaration, you must tell us as soon as possible when the goods arrive in the UK.”

The list of official roll-on, roll-off locations includes Dover, Folkestone, Liverpool and Hull.

Ferry operators and Channel Tunnel officials meanwhile will need to have “reasonable belief” that customers have made the necessary declarations in advance of their journey – such as by requesting it as part of their terms and conditions. “You’ll need to show the booking to HMRC if we ask for it,” the document states.

On the other side of the Channel, the European Commission is also ramping up contingency planning – with provisional agreement reached yesterday on realigning the North Sea–Mediterranean Corridor and investing in the adaptation of transport infrastructure for security and border checks – “taking into account the withdrawal of the United Kingdom”.

The European Parliament and the Council reached agreement on the European Commission’s proposal to adjust alignment of the one of the nine “core corridors” of the Trans-European Transport Network.

The Regulation adds:

a new maritime link between the Irish core ports of Dublin, Cork and Shannon to the core network ports in France (Le Havre, Calais, Dunkirk), Belgium (Zeebrugge, Antwerp, Gent) and the Netherlands (Terneuzen, Rotterdam, Amsterdam).

a new funding priority to the Connecting Europe Facility (CEF) – adapting transport infrastructure for security and external border check purposes.

These measures will only apply in case the United Kingdom withdraws from the EU without an agreement.

The risk is that the two sides are creating a self-fulfilling scenario.  The UK and EU are each building up a head of steam heading for a no-deal Brexit – creating a momentum that it may soon be impossible to stop – no matter that the majority of politicians don’t want a damaging no-deal Brexit on 29 March.

Background

Moving goods to and from the EU through roll on roll off ports or the Channel Tunnel:  arrangements for importers or exporters, using roll on roll off ports or the Channel Tunnel to transport goods between the EU and the UK in the event that the UK leaves the EU without a deal.

Overview

In the event that the UK leaves the EU without a deal: from 23:00 GMT on 29 March 2019, UK businesses will need to apply the same processes when trading with the EU trade that already apply when trading with the rest of the world.

importers using Roll on Roll off locations will have to submit customs declarations and pay any customs duty, excise duty or VAT that’s due.

Importing to the UK from the EU

Be ready to make customs declarations and follow other customs rules for the goods you import.

If you’re importing through a roll on roll off listed location, make your customs declaration before checking your goods onto the ferry or train on the EU side – you cannot complete customs formalities when your goods arrive in the UK.

The main customs form used in international trade is the “Single Administrative Document”.  This can be submitted electronically.

Before 29 March 2019, you’ll need to:

Making customs declarations before your goods leave the EU

Make your declaration before you check-in.  You can register to use transitional simplified procedures to:

  • transport your goods into the UK without having to make a full customs declaration at the port;
  • make a more detailed declaration later (a supplementary declaration);
  • defer paying your duty.

Once registered make either:

  • a simplified frontier declaration (an electronic declaration submitted to HMRC); or
  • an entry in your own records of when the goods are crossing the border.

Both of these declarations ask for less information upfront compared to a full customs declaration. If you’re importing controlled or restricted goods you’ll only be able to use a full declaration or a simplified frontier declaration.

Customs declarations can be changed up until the point of check-in at the ferry or train at the departure port.

You may be asked to confirm that you’ve completed a declaration as part of the terms and conditions when booking your transport or at check-in.

You’ll get a unique master reference number when you complete either a full customs declaration or a simplified frontier declaration.

Confirm with your haulage company that you’ve made a customs declaration before departure by giving them either the:

  • master reference number (to show you’ve made a full or simplified frontier customs declaration); or
  • your EORI number if you’ve made an entry in your own records.

Hauliers may be asked to show the master reference number or your EORI number to prove a declaration is in place.

When your goods arrive in the UK

For a temporary period, HMRC will allow most goods moving from the listed roll on roll off locations to leave the UK port or train station prior to being informed that the goods have arrived.  If you’ve submitted either a full declaration or a simplified frontier declaration, you must tell HMRC as soon as possible when the goods arrive in the UK.

Update declarations using your software application – or empower your agent can do this for you – no later than the end of the working day after the goods’ arrival in the UK.

If you’ve used an entry in your records – update your records to show the actual time the goods arrived in the UK.

For both the simplified frontier declaration and entry in your own records: submit a supplementary declaration (a more detailed declaration) by the fourth working day of the month after your goods’ arrival in the UK.

If you have duties or taxes to pay, HMRC will take draw upon your direct debit on the 15th day of the month after the goods arrive in the UK.

Haulage companies – imports

When haulage companies – or someone acting for them – are accompanying goods through the border – for example, the driver accompanying the load on board the ferry – they have a responsibility to submit safety and security information through an Entry Summary Declaration before the goods arrive in the UK.

For roll on roll off ports you must submit the declaration at least 2 hours before the goods are due to arrive in the UK.

For Eurotunnel you must submit the declaration at least 1 hour before check-in at Coquelles – this is because the UK border is actually crossed in France.

As well as submitting an Entry Summary Declaration you should carry either:

  • a master reference number to show that you’ve made a full or simplified frontier customs declaration; or
  • the EORI number of the importer if the importer made an entry in their own records.

The importer or their customs agent will give these to you.

Ferry operators and the Channel Tunnel operator – imports

If you’re a ferry operator or Channel Tunnel operator you must have reasonable belief that your customers have made the customs declarations.

You can do this through your terms and conditions that your customers use when booking their transport.

You’ll need to show the booking to HMRC if we ask for it.

For goods that are accompanied by a haulier – the haulier is responsible for submitting the Entry Summary Declaration (the safety and security declaration) before the goods leave the EU.

There’s no obligation for the ferry or Channel Tunnel operator to confirm that this declaration has been submitted.

Where goods are unaccompanied – for example goods on trailers or in containers – the ferry operator is responsible for submitting the Entry Summary Declaration before the goods leave the EU.

You must include the trailer or container number on the declaration.

Exporting

If you’re exporting goods from the UK from a roll on roll off listed location to the EU, you or your customs agent must complete a combined safety and security and customs declaration before the goods get to the departure port.  You’ll be able to do this using the National Export System.

If you do this yourself, you will need to enter the correct customs duty tariffs.

You must include the vehicle registration number of the vehicle to be used to transport your goods on the declaration.  Ask the company that’s exporting your goods (usually a haulier) for the number.

You need this so that you can complete the combined export and safety and security declaration in full.

If your goods are being transported unaccompanied on a trailer or in a container you must include the trailer or container number on your declaration.

You’ll need to:

Once you’ve submitted the combined customs and safety and security declaration HMRC will send you a notification that:

  • allows you to proceed;
  • asks for additional documentation;
  • asks you to make sure the haulier or driver transports your goods to a Designated Export Place or authorised premises, so that we can make customs checks before we give you clearance.

If you’re exporting high risk goods, you must give HMRC a full departure message so that we can complete the export and account for any duty refund or discharge any liability.  You can do this by either:

  • submitting online forms to HMRC along with evidence of export;
  • arranging for an appropriate third party intermediary to update HMRC IT systems.

Countdown to Brexit: 48 days – Parliament begins looking ahead to International Treaties and Agreements post-Brexit

Parliament’s ‘European Union’ Committee has published its first report.  It has recently been tasked with beginning scrutiny of Brexit-related treaties and-or international agreements.  This is vital as the UK attempts to ‘rollover’ the plethora of international agreements that the EU has signed in the last 40 years – and that apply to the UK an integral member of the bloc.

Under the Prime Minister’s ‘Withdrawal Agreement’ – reached between the UK Government and the EU in November – the UK would have continued to be bound by EU international agreements for the duration of any transition period.:

In a no-deal Brexit, however, these agreements will cease to apply on exit day – and a: “large number of replacement UK treaties will have to be ratified by Parliament before, or as soon as possible after, 29 March 2019.”

Ministers must bring Brexit-related treaties to the Commons.  The EU Committee will scrutinise all of them as they are brought forward and may: report them as needing further information; or draw them to the ‘special attention’ of the House.

This week’s report considers three international agreements – which are all reported for information.

The Committee also sent a letter to the Secretary of State for Exiting the EU, Stephen Barclay MP, seeking further information on the Government’s programme of Brexit-related treaties.

In this first report, the Committee also spells out the constitutional requirements for debating, scrutinising and ratifying any Treaty – a procedure that has seldom been needed or used for 4 decades.  Treaties need an absolute minimum of “21 Parliamentary Sitting Days” – or about 6 calendar weeks – and must follow a clearly defined process.

It is not good news in the event of a no-deal Brexit in less than 7 weeks’ time – when the UK would be stripped of all Treaties and Agreements.  For instance, the recently negotiated comprehensive EU-Japan Trade Agreement.  This took 6 years to negotiate and came into effect just a week ago.  The UK will be excluded from it after 30 March – and has been rebuffed in its first move to attempt a rollover.

Three Agreements scrutinised – all reported for ‘information’

Protocol (2015) amending the Annex to the Agreement on Trade in Civil Aircraft

The UK is signatory to an Agreement on Trade in Civil Aircraft (ATCA), which eliminates import duties on aircraft (other than military aircraft) as well as other products such as civil aircraft engines, parts, components of civil aircraft and flight simulators.  An Annex to the ATCA lists the products to be accorded duty-free or duty-exempt treatment.  Products in the Annex are classified following the Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding System which allows participating countries to classify traded goods on a common basis.

The Government’s Explanatory Memorandum notes that the effects of the Protocol “are bound in our WTO goods schedule”.  The Government proposes to lodge an instrument of continued acceptance at the WTO to ensure the UK’s ongoing adherence after leaving the EU.

Finding: “We report the Protocol amending the Annex to the Agreement on Trade in Civil Aircraft for information.”

Protocol amending the TRIPS Agreement

The Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights – the “TRIPS” Agreement is a comprehensive multilateral agreement on intellectual property between all the members of the World Trade Organization (WTO).  It sets down minimum standards for the regulation by national governments of many forms of intellectual property.

The UK is currently bound by the Amendment, and now proposes to lodge an instrument of continued acceptance at the WTO to confirm its membership after leaving the EU.

Finding: “We report the Protocol amending the TRIPS Agreement for information.”

Protocol amending the Marrakesh Agreement establishing the World Trade Organization

The General Council of the World Trade Organization (WTO) resolved to improve aspects of the 1994 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, to help reduce the administrative burden associated with moving goods across borders.  The outcome of the negotiations that followed was the Agreement on Trade Facilitation, incorporated by the Protocol Amending the Marrakesh Agreement establishing the World Trade Organization.

The Agreement is divided into two sections.  The first section is designed to expedite the movement of goods by streamlining customs procedures and removing red tape.  The second section contains special and differential treatment provisions for developing and least-developed countries that allow them to either delay implementation of individual provisions, or make the implementation of specific provisions contingent on the receipt of technical assistance and capacity building support.

In summary, UK traders benefit from faster clearance times for their goods in other countries.

Finding: “Given the UK is simply seeking to accede to the existing Protocol, with all its benefits and no new obligations, we report the Protocol amending the Marrakesh Agreement establishing the World Trade Organization for information.”

Background

Even though the UK is a Member of the World Trade Organization and also a signatory to the (plurilateral) Agreement on Trade in Civil Aircraft in its own right, it is currently bound by the three Protocols considered in this report only as a Member State of the European Union.  The reason for this apparent discrepancy lies in the fact that both the content of international trade agreements and the scope of EU competences have evolved over time.

The EU has long held an exclusive competence with regard to the common commercial policy.  Early trade agreements were, however, limited in scope, and when the WTO Agreements were negotiated in the early 1990s, the Commission and Member States disagreed about the extent to which the EU had the competence to conclude the new agreements.  The Court of Justice was asked to issue an opinion on this question, and decided that the European Union (at that time still the Community) and its Member States were “jointly competent”, both with regard to the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) and the TRIPS Agreement.

In response to the enlarged scope of international trade negotiations, Member States decided over time also to enlarge the EU’s competences in this area.  The three Protocols at issue here fell into these enlarged exclusive competences of the EU.  Thus, the EU accepted them and they became binding on the Member States without the Member States having to become parties in their own right.

Reference

https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld201719/ldselect/ldeucom/282/282.pdf

Countdown to Brexit: 49 days – Even as Theresa May visits Brussels to re-open her ‘deal’ – the European Commission moves to actively mobilise for a no-deal Brexit

The European Commission has responded to “the increasing risk that the United Kingdom may leave the EU on 30 March this year without a deal”.  In anticipation of a no-deal scenario, the Commission has further extended its contingency planning to include the ‘Erasmus+ programme’, ‘social security coordination’, and the ‘EU budget’.

This follows the calls by the European Council – comprised of the 27 Heads of States from the remaining EU nations – to “intensify preparedness work at all levels” and their adoption of the European Commission’s ‘Contingency Action Plan’.  This includes a series of legislative measures and contingency proposals for EU fisheries.  They come in addition to the extensive preparations by the European Commission that began in December 2017.

The measures will ensure that in the event of a “no-deal” scenario:

  • Young people from the EU and the UK who are actively participating in the Erasmus+ programme on 30 March 2019 can complete their stay without interruption;
  • EU Member State authorities will continue to take into account periods of insurance, (self) employment or residence in the United Kingdom before the date of the withdrawal, when calculating social security benefits, such as pensions;
  • UK beneficiaries of EU funding will continue to receive payments under their current contracts, provided that the United Kingdom continues to honour its financial obligations under the EU budget.  This issue is separate from the financial settlement between the European Union and the United Kingdom.

It is important to note that these measures will not – and cannot – “mitigate the overall impact of a no-deal scenario – nor do they in any way compensate for the lack of preparedness or replicate the full benefits of EU membership or the favourable terms of any transition period, as provided for in the Withdrawal Agreement”.

The European Commission noted that: “Today’s proposals are temporary in nature, limited in scope and will be adopted unilaterally by the EU.”  They take into account discussions with the remaining EU27 Member States.

The risk is that the two sides are creating a self-fulfilling scenario.  The UK and EU are each generating momentum towards a no-deal Brexit – a momentum that takes the decision out of the hands of politicians and into the hands of civil servants and business.  A momentum that it may soon be impossible to stop – no matter that the majority of politicians don’t want a damaging no-deal exit on 29 March – in just seven weeks’ time.

A less reported quote from Donald Tusk is that the chances of stopping Britain leaving the EU were now close to non-existent because of the “pro-Brexit stance of the leader of the Opposition” and the lack of “effective leadership for Remain”.  And there seems to be little chance of Theresa May’s ‘deal’ in its original November 2018 form being accepted on 14 February – especially after she voted against it herself last week.

Banks are beginning to move hundreds of billions of pounds of assets out of the UK because financial service regulations will soon lapse.  Exporters in the Far East – whose ships take weeks to get to Britain – are getting ready to divert their cargoes to continental ports according to the Business Secretary: “because trade arrangements will soon be suspended”.  Industry data universally shows that factories are stockpiling supplies – and the NHS is busy hoarding medicines.

The legal default is for Britain to leave the EU without a deal – unless someone comes up with a majority for an alternative — and there is no sign of the political leadership required coming from any quarter that might secure a majority.

As the timetable runs down, Britain risks a no-deal Brexit that few want but that may become unstoppable.  It takes time to turn – and the lead-times necessary mean no-deal instructions are now being issued.  One seasoned political insider who has closely studied the dynamics of Brexit now puts an 80% probability on a no-deal Brexit at 23:00 GMT on Friday 29 March.

Background

Erasmus+:  is one of the EU’s flagship programmes.  On 30 March 2019, it is anticipated that there will be 14,000 young people from the EU27 – including students, trainees in higher education and vocational education and training, youth learners, and educational staff – resident in the United Kingdom thanks to the Erasmus+ programme.  Some 7,000 UK participating students will be resident in the EU27.

In a strict no-deal scenario, they would not be able to complete their Erasmus+ terms – and may no longer be eligible for grants.  The European Commission proposal aims to remedy this by ensuring that in a no-deal scenario, students and trainees abroad participating in Erasmus+ can complete their studies and continue to receive the relevant funding or grants.

Protecting citizens’ social security rights:  the European Commission has consistently made clear that the rights of EU citizens in the United Kingdom and UK nationals in the EU are its priority.  They: “should not pay the price for Brexit.”  Today’s proposal aims to ensure that in a no-deal scenario, the entitlements of those people who exercised their right to free movement before the UK’s withdrawal are safeguarded.  These entitlements include periods of insurance, (self) employment or residence in the United Kingdom before the withdrawal.  For example, this means that if an EU27 citizen worked for 10 years in the United Kingdom prior to Brexit, this period should be taken into account when his/her pension rights are calculated by the competent authorities in the EU Member State where he/she retires.

The proposed Regulation ensures that Member States continue applying the core principles of EU social security coordination – namely the principles of equality of treatment, assimilation and aggregation.  Today’s proposal: “by no means replicates the significant advantages of the Withdrawal Agreement that was agreed by the UK and EU on 14 November 2018.  It does not cover rights accumulated after 29 March 2019 – nor does it cover the exportability of cash benefits, the continuous provision of sickness benefits in kind and the rules on applicable legislation.

Protecting the beneficiaries of the EU budget:  As has been endorsed on many occasions, all commitments taken by the 28 Member States should be honoured by the 28 Member States.  This is true in a no-deal scenario – where the UK would be expected to continue to honour all commitments made during EU membership.

Today’s proposal enables the EU to be in a position – in a no-deal scenario – to honour its commitments and to continue making payments in 2019 to UK beneficiaries for contracts signed and decisions made before 30 March 2019.  This is on condition that the UK honours its obligations under the 2019 budget and that it accepts the necessary audit checks and controls.  This would help mitigate the significant impact of a no-deal scenario for the wide range of areas that receive EU funding, such as research, innovation or agriculture.

This issue is separate from – and without prejudice to – the financial settlement between the EU and the United Kingdom in a no-deal scenario.

Next steps

The European Commission will work closely with the European Parliament and the European Council to ensure the adoption of the proposed legislative Acts so that they are in force by 30 March 2019.  The Commission also highlighted to the European Parliament and to the European Council that it is important for delegated Acts to enter into force as rapidly as possible.

Chronology

14 November 2018:  the negotiators of the European Commission and the United Kingdom agreed on the terms of the Withdrawal Agreement.

22 November 2018:  the European Commission approved the completed Withdrawal Agreement

25 November 2018:  the European Council endorsed the Withdrawal Agreement (Article 50) and invited the European Commission, Parliament and Council to take the necessary steps to ensure that the Withdrawal Agreement can enter into force on 30 March 2019.  This will provide for an orderly withdrawal of the UK from the EU.

It was noted that the ratification of the Withdrawal Agreement in the United Kingdom by Parliament is currently uncertain.

5 December 2018:  the European Commission adopted two proposals for the Council to ratify, and sign in order to conclude the Withdrawal Agreement.  For the Withdrawal Agreement to enter into force the European Council must now authorise the signature of the text on behalf of the European Union and the European Parliament must then give its consent before being concluded by the Council.

It was noted that the Withdrawal Agreement has failed to be ratified by the United Kingdom Parliament as required by its own constitutional requirements.

Ratification of the Withdrawal Agreement is the priority of the European Commission.  

It was noted that irrespective of the scenario envisaged, the United Kingdom’s choice to leave the European Union will cause significant disruption.  Stakeholders, including 27 states and EU authorities need to urgently prepare for two possible main scenarios:

if the Withdrawal Agreement is ratified before 30 March 2019, EU law will cease to apply to and in the UK on 1 January 2021 – that is, after a transition period of 21 months.  The Withdrawal Agreement includes the possibility for a single extension of the transition period for up to one or two years;

if the Withdrawal Agreement is not ratified before 30 March 2019, there will be no transition period and EU law will cease to apply to and in the UK as of 30 March 2019.  This is referred to by the Commission as the “cliff-edge, no-deal” scenario.

The UK Government has published 104 no-deal Technical Notices.  The European Commission has published a complementary set 88 sector-specific preparedness notices for the EU 27 remaining member states to inform the public about the consequences of the UK’s withdrawal in a no-deal scenario.  They are available in all official EU languages.

Today’s proposals add 18 legislative proposals in the context of Brexit preparations and contingency planning.

The European Commission has held widespread technical discussions with the EU27 Member States both on general issues of preparedness – and on specific sectorial, legal and administrative preparedness steps.  The slides used in these technical seminars are available on request.

The European Commission is now visiting each of the 27 EU Member States to ensure national contingency planning is on track – and to provide any necessary clarifications on the no-deal Brexit preparations.

Reference:

http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-19-743_en.htm

Countdown to Brexit: 50 days – No-deal impacts on Life Sciences and Healthcare

From 29 March 2019 in the event of a no-deal Brexit, the impacts on the life sciences and healthcare are profound.

The UK has a strong presence in the life sciences and healthcare sector.  There are tax incentives, and high levels of investment and funding for R&D.  The UK presently accounts for approximately 25% of the EU market – and will remain key mutual markets.  Switzerland – which is not in the EU – is one model for the sector successfully working outside the EU.

The implementation of uniform product safety laws across the EU has allowed advanced standards of product safety for products both imported and exported into and out of the EU.  This has allowed increased safety standards for consumers and a level playing field for enforcement within Europe.

Following Brexit, it is expected that the UK would continue to apply product safety standards in common with those in the EU – or higher – because failure to do so could affect the competitiveness of UK goods and suppliers given the global drive to higher standards.

Clinical Trials: The present clinical trial regime in the EU came into force in 2018.  The new Regulation sets the framework for clinical trials – and ensures harmonisation across the EU.  It provides for a single application for clinical trials across the EU via a single portal with an associated EU wide database – reducing administrative burdens on applicants.

The UK will be outside this system – posing additional administrative burdens on companies wishing to conduct multi-centre clinical trials in the EU and the UK.  Separate centralised and national clinical trial authorisation procedures will need to be followed.

Regulation of quality assurance of medicinal products:  is managed at a national level.  In order to ensure that high quality standards are maintained in respect of medicinal products for consumption in the UK, they must be manufactured in accordance with UK laws – which are presently based on EU Directives which lay down the principles of good manufacturing practice (GMP).  This requires all manufacturers and importers of medicines located in the EEA to hold a ‘manufacturing authorisation’.  The medicines regulatory authorities in each EU member state carry out periodic checks to ensure that GMP is being complied with.  The current UK/EU GMP are similar to those within other developed countries such as the USA.

UK Manufacturers would be able to continue exporting medicines to the EU – and vice versa – so long as the UK and EU regulatory frameworks remain ‘equivalent’.  The UK is likely to maintain the GMP standard in order to facilitate mutual recognition agreements with the EU and other trading partners and aid imports into those areas.  The cost of imports into the EU from the UK may, however, increase if additional checks would be required for non-EU imports.

A no-deal Brexit means the UK will be outside the EEA.  All medicines must be authorised before they can be marketed and made available to patients in the EEA – and the authorisation holder has to be located in an EEA state.

Pharmacovigilance:  EU legislation governs the procedures for pharmacovigilance throughout the EU.  It is comprehensive – setting out requirements for prompt collection of data, adverse reaction reporting, risk management, and transparency on marketing authorisation holders, national competent authorities and the EMA.  The EU pharmacovigilance system is coordinated by the EMA – which ensures effective and coordinated analysis, evaluation of risk, information sharing and periodic checks on market-authorisation holders throughout the EU.

Following Brexit the – yet-to-be-established – UK competent authority will have smaller data sets than those in the EU – and the EU would be deprived of data from the UK.  Less co-operation and sharing of expertise and information will result in pharmacovigilance being less efficient and more costly.

IPR: Territorial limits apply to intellectual property rights (IPR).  A purchaser’s freedom to deal with a protected product is typically limited to the territory in which the product is purchased.  Presently, free movement of goods extends the territory to the whole of the EEA.

Parallel imports have always been acute for pharmaceutical companies particularly during the life of the patent because the pricing and reimbursement of medicines are not harmonised and falls under the exclusive competence of EU member states.  This means that third parties are free to buy up branded medicines in an EU member state where the price is low – and make profit by selling in a more expensive EU member state – undercutting pharmaceutical companies’ market pricing.

A no-deal Brexit means the UK leaving the single market.  Pharmaceutical companies may be able to prevent importation into the UK by asserting their intellectual property rights (typically patents or trade marks) against the parallel importers – subject to any other defences that may already apply to parallel imports from outside of the EU.

The present system of national patent protection obtained through the UK Intellectual Property Office (UKIPO) or the European Patent Office (this is not an EU institution) remains unchanged.

Businesses have been urged to review their patent protection and future enforcement strategies.

Supplementary Protection Certificates: are an additional right for patentees for medicinal, veterinary, and plant protection products which have obtained market authorisation in the EU.  An SPC can extend the patent protection of a product by up to five years.  Given the high investment, the 20 year patent term and the long lead time to market, SPCs are valuable in protecting a patented product at the point when sales may be highest.  Equivalent extensions to patent protection are available in other countries, for example Japan and the US.

The EU introduced the SPC via two EU Regulations which will no longer bind the UK upon Brexit.

Trade Secrets:  the UK presently has a unilateral strong trade secret protection regime.  The level of protection of trade secrets currently varies between EU member states.  The EU Trade Secrets Directive (Directive (EU) 2016/943) came into force on 5 July 2016 – and addresses this issue by setting a minimum level of protection.

Illustration of UK Government No-Deal Technical Notice on “batch testing of medicines”. 

We have illustrated one of the 20 UK Technical Notices on leaving the EU with no-deal in place.  We have access to the list of notices set out at the end of this article – and the equivalent set published by the European Commission on impacts of a no-deal Brexit for the remaining EU27 Nations.  Please contact us at if you would like to explore further impacts on life sciences and healthcare in more detail.

Up to 29 March 2019:

  • pharmaceutical manufacturers can batch test medicines anywhere in the EU – or other third countries with whom the EU has a ‘Mutual Recognition Agreement’ (MRA) – under Article 51(2) of Directive 2001/83/EC (“the Directive”).
  • for human medicines manufactured in the UK, a UK-based Qualified Person must certify the batch testing and ensure compliance with the MA and Good Manufacturing Practice (GMP) guidelines.  these medicines can then be sold or supplied anywhere in the EU or EEA – including the UK – without further certification.
  • for human medicines manufactured in the EU/EEA, the batch testing and certification or release by an EU or EEA based QP allows a batch of human medicines to be sold in any other EU or EEA country (subject to the requirements of the country) – including the UK – without the need for any further certification.
  • for human medicines manufactured in a third country outside the EU or EEA and imported into the UK through the EU or EEA, batch testing is required within the UK, EU or EEA, unless the medicine has been manufactured in a third country with which the EU has an MRA.
  • human medicine manufactured in a third country requires a QP based in the UK, EU or EEA to certify that it meets all the required standards and specifications of the Marketing Authorisation, before it can be sold or supplied in the EU or EEA (including the UK).

After 29 March 2019

If there’s no-deal, the UK would no longer be a member of the European Medicines Agency EMA.  In order to ensure continuity of supply in medicines:

  • the UK will continue to accept batch testing of human medicines carried out in countries named on a list set out by the MHRA.  On exit day, this list would include EU countries, other EEA countries and those third countries with which the EU has an MRA.
  • the UK will continue to accept batch testing of Investigational Medicinal Products (IMPs) – substances being used in medical trials – manufactured in EU and EEA states.  There will be no change to the present arrangements for batch testing of IMPs manufactured in third countries.
  • for human medicines manufactured in the UK, there will continue to be a requirement for a UK-based QP to certify the batch testing and to ensure compliance with the Marketing Authorisation and GMP guidelines before these medicines can be sold or supplied in the UK.
  • for human medicines manufactured in a third country and directly imported into the UK, there will continue to be a requirement for a UK-based QP to certify the batch testing, as well as to ensure compliance with the MA and with GMP guidelines, before they can be sold or supplied in the UK.
  • where human medicines are manufactured in a third country but are imported into the UK from a country on a separate list maintained by MHRA (on exit day, this list will contain EU and EEA countries), there will continue to be a recognition of certification, release and assurance of compliance with the MA and with GMP guidelines, if conducted by a QP based in the listed country, without the need for any further certification.
  • for human medicines manufactured in a country on the MHRA’s QP list, which have the relevant QP certification, there will continue to be a recognition of certification, release and assurance of compliance with the MA and with GMP guidelines, if conducted by a QP based in the listed country, without the need for any further certification.
  • the approaches to QP certification of licensed medicines set out above will also apply to IMPs.

These arrangements will continue until the Government considers any further change is necessary.

References:

Regulating medicines and medical equipment

1. Batch testing medicines if there’s no Brexit deal

2. Ensuring blood and blood products are safe if   there’s no Brexit deal

3. How medicines, medical devices and clinical trials   would be regulated if there’s no Brexit deal

4. Quality and safety of organs, tissues and cells if   there’s no Brexit deal

5. Submitting regulatory information on medical   products if there’s no Brexit deal

6. Trading in drug precursors if there’s no Brexit deal

Regulating veterinary medicines

1. Accessing animal medicine IT systems if there’s no   Brexit deal

2. Registration of veterinary medicines if there’s no   Brexit deal

3. Regulation of veterinary medicines if there’s no   Brexit deal